Northern Kentucky
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 89.5249Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 2- 5 213 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 5- 6 214 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 3- 2 220 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 6-21 306 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 3- 7 307 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 3-13 308 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 3-17 318 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 1- 2 324 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 6- 7 331 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 12-15 407 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 6-12 428 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 6-16 514 A Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 12- 6 521 A Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 2-14 521 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A South Carolina 2- 5 -3 -6 + 2.70
213 A South Carolina 5- 6 -1 -6 ++ 4.70
214 A South Carolina 3- 2 1 -6 +++ 6.70
220 A Virginia 6-21 -15 -7 --- -6.75
306 H Wake Forest 3- 7 -4 -7 + 3.07
307 A Florida State 3-13 -10 -8 -1.87
308 A Florida State 3-17 -14 -8 -- -5.87
318 H Michigan 1- 2 -1 -6 ++ 4.63
324 A Bellarmine 6- 7 -1 -2 1.31
331 H Bellarmine 12-15 -3 -1 - -2.04
407 A Tennessee 6-12 -6 -8 1.84
428 H Eastern Kentucky 6-16 -10 -1 --- -8.99
514 A Northwestern State 12- 6 6 -2 +++ 8.49
521 A Milwaukee 2-14 -12 -5 --- -6.88
521 H Oakland 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Virginia 6-21 -15 -7 --- -6.75 428 H Eastern Kentucky 6-16 -10 -1 --- -8.99 521 A Milwaukee 2-14 -12 -5 --- -6.88 308 A Florida State 3-17 -14 -8 -- -5.87 331 H Bellarmine 12-15 -3 -1 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A South Carolina 3- 2 1 -6 +++ 6.70 514 A Northwestern State 12- 6 6 -2 +++ 8.49 213 A South Carolina 5- 6 -1 -6 ++ 4.70 318 H Michigan 1- 2 -1 -6 ++ 4.63 213 A South Carolina 2- 5 -3 -6 + 2.70 306 H Wake Forest 3- 7 -4 -7 + 3.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 2- 5 -5.35 13.08 0.68 1.93 -4.51
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 5- 6 -5.35 13.08 0.68 1.93 -4.51
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 3- 2 -5.35 13.08 0.68 1.93 53.03
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 6-21 -3.80 14.63 0.68 1.93 -3.01
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 3- 7 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 1.93 -3.19
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 3-13 -2.92 15.51 0.68 1.93 -2.16
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 3-17 -2.92 15.51 0.68 1.93 -2.16
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 1- 2 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 1.93 -4.57
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 6- 7 -8.74 9.69 0.68 1.93 -7.77
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 12-15 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 1.93 -9.08
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 6-12 -3.21 15.22 0.68 1.93 -2.44
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 6-16 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 1.93 -9.03
3 A Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 12- 6 -8.56 9.87 0.68 1.93 40.65
3 A Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 2-14 -5.93 12.50 0.68 1.93 -5.07
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 3- 5 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 1.93 -9.10
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27.10
|
winning pts = 93.6797 losing points = -66.5836
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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